zerotohiro: (Systematic)
captain cutie ([personal profile] zerotohiro) wrote in [personal profile] sylfied 2017-08-29 04:08 pm (UTC)

Yeah. We have names now and a few numbers and that's kind of a good thing since it's facts we can work with. If there's eleven roles and we caught two of them already, there's nine left. If there's nine left and there's twenty-five of us, there's a 36% chance any one of us could be somebody with a role. Not exactly great odds, but it's a lot easier than trying to find eleven people out of the forty-two people we started with which was only a 26% chance of picking a person.

Even further, if there's four Sirens left and there's twenty-five of us, there's a 16% chance of us picking out a Siren and there's a 4% chance of finding the last Wickie.

So...it's not a great accomplishment but we are increasing our chances. The problem is now that we know the rules the Sirens are running under, what're the chances the game's going to change?

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